Preview · 7:00 p.m. ET · Madison Square Garden
Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers — Thursday, October 1, 2026
What is true about this game today
New York Rangers come in on 2 days of rest.
The recent history between these two
Their last 15 meetings, going back to 2021. New York Rangers lead 10 to 5, at 5.87 goals a game.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Rangers 4, Lightning 2 | TBL | 6 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Lightning 4, Rangers 1 | NYR | 5 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Rangers 7, Lightning 3 | TBL | 10 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Rangers 4, Lightning 0 | NYR | 4 |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Lightning 5, Rangers 1 | NYR | 6 |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Lightning 6, Rangers 2 | TBL | 8 |
| Mar 14, 2024 | Lightning 6, Rangers 3 | TBL | 9 |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Rangers 3, Lightning 1 | NYR | 4 |
See the projection for this game
ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for Tampa Bay Lightning against New York Rangers, and flags where the number sits against the book.
Open ArakIceWhat the model weighs here
The projection starts from expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up, which holds up better than goals scored. It then adjusts for what is only true of this game: who is confirmed in net, rest and travel, whether either club is on the second night of a back to back, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
Schedule, standings and results from the NHL public API. Head to head history from ArakIce's own game database.
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